The Man Wave

 

It was All Saints Day and it was like a light switch.  I have had enough of DJ Drumph.  I don't want to hear his voice or watch his accordion hands, or gaze upon his dragging right leg, or the orange powdered face of a broadway player in a truly disgusting role.  I don't want to hear one more lie, one more mean spirited characterization of  his former Chief of Staff, the Joint Chief of our armies, or his Secretary of Defense.

And I don't want to see him give his microphone a blow job  after stroking it. He is gross and he has brought American political discourse to a realm somewhere below Hades.

Talking Points Memo said it well:

As Clear A Referendum As Ever Could Be

"Donald Trump slogged through the final weekend of his third presidential campaign as the Republican Party nominee demonstrating in blatant ways nearly every facet of the misbegotten character that makes him unfit for public office at any level.

He mimed stroking and fellating a microphone on a rally stage in Milwaukee. He talked favorably of the press corps in attendance taking bullets intended for him at a rally in Pennsylvania. He said he should have never left the White House after his 2020 election defeat, contemplating a coup by intransigence. He bizarrely claimed that the counting of votes should be over by 9 p.m. on election night, thus stoking anew bogus election fraud conspiracies centered on the time it takes to count votes.

It wasn’t that long ago that the most persistent challenge Republicans in public life presented to reporters, watchdogs, and the sanctity of the English language was disguising their unpopular, often cruel, and elaborately expensive policy preferences under layers of double talk, misdirection, and word play. With Trump it is all undisguised. 

Perhaps we can count that as a small blessing.

On the margins of this campaign, Trump and his surrogates have muddied the waters around health care policy, Medicare, tariffs, and taxation. Political reporters still fall for this gamesmanship. But where it counted most – trying to soften the edges of Republicans’ brutal abortion policies – the political press was largely on point and unfooled.

For the most part though, what you see with Trump is what you get. 

It is why his defeat will be so cathartic and represent a genuine repudiation of the man and his movement. 

It is also why a Trump victory would be so devastating. As unfathomable as a Trump win would be after the last decade of Trumpism and especially the past three weeks of his careening, unhinged campaign, it remains a real possibility. History will show that we knew everything we needed to know. Ignorance will be no excuse.

But, I believe that it will be the former.

And so does Michael Moore:

As you know, I have been loathe to predict how I really feel the election is going to turn out on Tuesday. But I’m guessing by now you’ve picked up a basic sense from me that, contrary to the breathless punditry of how “dangerously close” this election is — It’s a tie! It’s a 50-50 country! It’s neck-and-neck! It’s kneecap-to-kneecap! Trump’s gonna win!

I have felt for a long time that not only is Trump going to lose (because, yes, I have a lot of faith in the goodness of my fellow Americans), but Kamala Harris is going to win, and win big. With crowd-size numbers that even Trump will be blown away by, meaning this is the last that we will see him (unless Dr. Phil does a live special from Epstein Island a few years from now). "

Moore goes on to quoting from his favorite pollster, Rachel Bitecofer:

"And what we see in these data is overwhelmingly positive for Harris.

As I have documented in previous posts, the Trump Team’s theory of the 2024 case was that since Dobbs was political kryptonite for Trump, they would build their strategy around men.

It probably took being a woman political scientist to fully recognize the folly that is designing your entire electoral strategy around getting men who don’t normally vote, to vote.

During football season, no less.

Here’s how it’s going: (more)

"Now, to be clear, the gender gap we see in early voting and registration data is not dissimilar from what we saw in both 2020 and 2022. But Democrats didn’t need an even bigger gap, it was already huge and Joe Biden won with that gender gap.

What Democrats needed was to maintain that advantage in the face of 2 years and millions in investment from Trump and Republican superPACs to drive more men to the polls to maximize their own gender gap to offset ours.

And there is not one iota of evidence that suggests they have been successful in this effort.

And don’t forget: the Man Wave strategy was not without costs for the Trump campaign, Trump further isolated a key part of the voting universe: college educated whites.

Sneer at the White voters all you want but you should know there is one group of White Americans who actually like multicultural, pluralistic democracy, and every cycle Democrats have made additional inroads with them: college educated White voters. (clip)

But there are strong signs that Democrats will continue to make inroads among college educated White voters, as they have every cycle since Trump descended down his golden escalator to debut his special brand of hate politics.

But in this cycle, the Harris campaign specifically targeted these voters with messaging designed to break their brand loyalty to the Republican Party.

As far as the Selzer poll this weekend in Iowa shows, it’s working."

Obviously, I'm thoroughly disgusted with my fellow XYs and Drumph will still win men.  And although this will be the first successful XX presidential election in this country,

There will be more.

As we YO YO our way 

through human history

into a climate change cloud of uncertainty.

 

 

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