earthfamilyalpha: Heads I win, Tails you lose

I generally consider myself to be politically informed. When I was in college, I worked for a public relations firm that elected John Tower and a host of other R types. I later became a campaign coordinator for a gubernatorial effort reporting directly to the campaign manager. He later became the head of the RNC while they picked up the pieces from the Nixon debacle.

When I was even younger, I paid more attention to politics than most kids my age. Kennedy was assassinated when I was 14. I never quite got over seeing John John salute his father's black horse drawn hearse.

Back then, my mother's side of the family were Republicans mostly because they were Bankers and Ranchers. And my mother's sister was the district committee woman for our part of the state. On my father 's side, they were Farmers and Merchants, and they knew what happened when the Republicans got control.

Things got hard, and you might not go broke, but you could count on getting severely bent. And perhaps coincidentally, my father's sister was the district committeewoman for the D's in the same large area of the state as my mother's sister.

So no surprise that I would work in politics in college. I know most of the 254 counties in Texas and the voting histories of the 50 states. I was in High School when LBJ gave the South to the R's when he forced through the Voting Right Act. The Rs proved Moyers right by devising their new southern strategy swapping their party of Lincoln with George Lincoln. (Rockwell).

On election nights, I would have the charts and data to follow the early results and pretty well guess what the rest of the night would look like. When the networks gave Florida to Al Gore in 2000, I celebrated what would be victory. Little did I know that the designation would be retracted and that the Supreme Court would stop the counting and give the presidency to the brother of the Florida Governor, who would be elected with 500,000 less votes and just five more electoral votes.

And, in defense of our Democracy, Al Gore accepted defeat gracefully.

That was just a quarter of a century ago.

Today, about half of the R's say they won't accept the results if they lose. If a football team said they would not accept defeat, you would not play them. And you certainly would make the case that nobody else should either.

They say their opponent cheated. Therapist have a name for that: Projection.

After 2024, It was my position that I would not look at the polls everyday and watch elections like a very slow horse race. No, I would write, donate, advise, and work every day for sanity in our clearly devolved democracy. But, in the last few weeks I have backslid. I check 50 plus 1, and Real Clear Politics. I also check the betting sites like Polymarket.

And according to Real Clear Politics, which is center-right, the House is going to turn blue and the senate is within sight. And the betting market agrees:

Fifty Plus One has this graphic:

But we have no reason to expect the Felon who currently resides in the White House will accept losing the Congress. He will rebel just as he did in 2020. And many of the Party of Lincoln will follow him.

It is easy to imagine that we will win on election night, but getting the winners seated in January will be another thing.

The former Republican Party will need to not just reform, they will need to reconstruct.

The Southern Strategy must be burned and buried alongside Jim Crow.

Heads I win, tales you lose

Is a recipe for Oligopoly.

And the Singularity

awaits.

And the raging waves of El Nino,

hammer our shores.

And the winds of change

stalk our people.

Earthfamilyalpha.earth