Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Almost Certainly Correct

The NY Times has a Peak Oil editorial today.

It is written by Robert Semple Jr, an associate editor of the Times Editorial Board who won the Pulitzer Prize in 1996 for his editorial writing on environmental issues.

Here is a small part of it.

"When President Bush declared in his 2006 State of the Union address that America must cure its "addiction to oil," he framed his case largely in terms of national security -- the need to liberate the country from of its dependence on volatile and in some cases hostile nations for much of its energy. He failed to mention two other good reasons to sober up. Both are at least as pressing as national security.

One is global warming...

The second reason is just as unsettling, and is only starting to get the attention it deserves. The Age of Oil -- 100-plus years of astonishing economic growth made possible by cheap, abundant oil -- could be ending without our really being aware of it.

Oil is a finite commodity.

At some point even the vast reservoirs of Saudi Arabia will run dry. But before that happens there will come a day when oil production "peaks," when demand overtakes supply (and never looks back), resulting in large and possibly catastrophic price increases that could make today's $60-a-barrel oil look like chump change. Unless, of course, we begin to develop substitutes for oil. Or begin to live more abstemiously. Or both.

The concept of peak oil has not been widely written about. But people are talking about it now. It deserves a careful look -- largely because it is almost certainly correct."

So there you have it.

Climate Change and Peak Oil are at least as pressing as national security.

It's a difficult thing for those of us who live in our own little worlds,

our own little offices, our little towns, our little states, our little countries,

to keep in mind that all of these "little things" need one big thing.


And if we ignore the needs of our mothership,

as we prance through our streets with our tanks and our cannons,

as we prattle on to others and ourselves about the shortcomings of our

business light party,

as we pray on Sunday,

and then prey on everything else the rest of the week,

We do so at our Peril.

We will find ourselves looking back at our behavior,

wondering how we could ever have been so blind, so callous,

so foolish.

And yet,

You and I

will go about our day today.

Hoping that all we know about Climate Change and Peak Oil

is somehow wrong.

We act as if this can't possibly be true.

If it was, it would be in the newspapers and on the TV.

It's like the scene in the movie where everyone begins to come out

of their coma.

Well, it is in the newspapers.

And, there will be a dark day dawning

on this Ash Wednesday

if we don't begin to act as if it is

Almost Certainly Correct.


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Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good post, Oz, especially like the praying/preying analogy

1:28 PM  

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